Saturday, February 20, 2016

80,000

The numbers prove Senator Sanders will not be the next president.  The key numbers are not 53 to 47, the final returns in Nevada.  Nor is it the small number of additional delegates earned by Hillary.

Nor is it impossible for Bernie to be the nominee.  Certainly, with South Carolina and the Super Tuesday states coming up Hillary is the favorite but Bernie could still win.  The key numbers are 120,000 the number of Nevada caucus goers in 2008, as compared to 80,000, the number this year.

The single state primaries are about to yield to multi-state primaries.  As a far left candidate, single state primaries gave Bernie his best chance to prove he could fuel his revolution by expanding the electorate.  Compared to 2008, the number of Democratic participants has declined in Iowa, Nevada and New Hampshire.  Bernie has ceded the middle without expanding the base.  He would lose in November.

1 comment:

  1. Senator Sanders proves my point. He is not generating turnout. Bernie Sanders acknowledged that he “failed to turn out as many people in the Nevada caucuses as he hoped he would, a factor the Vermont senator suggested contributed to his loss on Saturday to Hillary Clinton,” the Washington Post reports.

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