Friday, November 10, 2017

Midseason Evaluation of Sammy Watkins Trade

Over 8 games, Sammy Watkins has only caught 19 passes.  To acquire him, in the final year of his contract, and a 6th round draft choice, the Rams gave up a 2nd round draft  choice and cornerback E.J. Gaines. Yet I can say the trade has been an unmitigated success.

Statistics underestimate Watkins value.  By stretching the field, and attracting the attention of each opponent's top corner, he has opened thing up for Woods and Kupp, as well as for Gurley.  As he gets more in sync with Goff more success should follow.

The compensation for him is less than meets the eye.  Gaines, although a steal in the 6th round, would have been a backup for the Rams.  The value of the 2nd round draft choice is diminishing with each win.

Granted, they have only leased Watkins for one year, but even that has its advantages.  The final year of Watkins rookie contract is a bargain.  If the Rams resign him, they will have a deep threat for years to come.  If he leaves and signs a big contract elsewhere, the Rams will get a compensatory pick, perhaps as high as a third rounder.