The Split

To win in the fall, Democrats want a tough split and a strike on semi-super Tuesday.  We want the GOP counting pins until the convention with, the weakest candidate, Trump, in the lead.  For that to happen we need a split in the winner take all states of Ohio and Florida.  If as is now likely, Kasich wins Ohio, but Rubio loses Florida, Trump will go to Cleveland with the most delegates but not the 1237 needed to clinch.

The benefits are many.  GOP resources will be depleted, rancor will rise, and Republicans will be unable to effectively attack the Democratic candidate until July.  Even if the party elite blocks Trump on a second or third ballot, Democrats win.  Denying Trump, if he has the most delegates, would fracture the party.  As a side benefit,  Marco Rubio, the last player on the neocon team will throw a gutter ball.  That moldy ideology may be left without a home in either party.

On our side we want the opposite.  Hillary must knock down all the pins.  Illinois, Ohio and Missouri are wobbling.  If she can take all five states, the general election will start on March 16.  Bernie will have the resources to continue, but Hillary will only compete in purple states to develop infrastructure, and states like California and New York, in which campaigning can combine with fund raising.  So put on your bowling shoes, order a beer, and root for a split and a strike.