Saturday, March 5, 2016

Messing with Texas

Each election cycle Democrats gaze longingly at Texas, with her high percentage of eligible hispanic voters, than decide she is out of their league.  Not just her large population, but her great size, make Texas an expensive date.

Nearly 28% of eligible Texas voters are latino, a higher percentage than in California.
Because of better out reach and voter suppression by Texas Republicans, than their impotent California counterparts, voting results are very different.  Fewer Texas hispanics register or vote, and those who do favor Democrats by a smaller margin.  Fear of failure is self fulfilling.  Democrats have under funded Texas, surrendering before the first vote is cast.

Often forgotten are Texas blacks who make up nearly 12% of the Texas voting age population.  After also subtracting the 6% "other," caucasians make up only 54% of eligible voters.

Trump may embolden Democrats to puff up their chest and chat up Texas.  His intemperate remarks could change everything.  Hillary should go all in by placing either of the very talented Texas based Castro brothers on her ticket, and doing it early.

Trump will not spend money to block pre-convention efforts to register and persuade blacks and hispanics.   Even if the effort fails, it may succeed.  Republicans will need to spend general election money to protect usually safe turf.  Democrats may pick up a few much needed House seats.

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