Friday, March 4, 2016

Quantity vs. Quality

Desperate to regain the White House,  Republicans are setting records for primary turnout, but the Democrats have higher quality voters.   Only 50% of GOP primary voters say they would be satisfied with Trump as their nominee.  Rubio and Cruz do only slightly better.  The GOP will have a party unity problem.  The candidate will need to bring the coalition together before, if ever, pivoting to the center.

With a more content electorate, Democratic turnout is down 50% from 2008.  But, over 70% of Democratic primary voters would be happy to have Hillary as their nominee, with Bernie only slightly behind.  Party unity will be easy, turnout not so much.  The answer for both problems is the same--demonize the opposition.

It may be hard to hit Trump's overly small hands, but his big mouth is an excellent target.  The Donald has said something to offend and motivate every element of the Obama coalition

The conservative core of the Republican party hates Hillary.  With reluctance and disdain, they will pull the lever for Trump even if they wash their hands afterwards.

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