Colorful Centro Historico Mazatlan

 

Selling the Planet

For a large donation by big oil, Trump has promised to remove environmental regulations. I am 73, may not impact me, but if I was young, Trump would not be the one. 

The Jim Crow West Bank

 The West Bank is crowing like the early 20th century American South.  The settlers are the Klu Klux Klan with yarmulkes.  Palestinian homes are raided and burned, businesses are destroyed.  The Israeli government at best ignores the violence, or at worst, supports the settlers.

The Religious Zionist Party and its allies, resemble the Dixiecrats.  Essential to the continuation of the Netanyahu coalition, they protect and expand the settlements.

Nor is bigotry the sole motivation.  Housing is expensive in Israel.  Driving out the Palestinians creates free land and residences.  Much of the land is commuting distance to Tel Aviv or Jerusalem.  Imagine if those desperate to live on the westside of Los Angeles decided to terrorize and expel the tenants and home owners in Mar Vista.

Israel was created as a safe haven from religious persecution.  As an American Jew, I expect better.

Why Biden is Pulling Ahead

 For the first time this election cycle, polls show Biden pedaling ahead of Trump.  The reasons are two fold.  First is the State of the Union address.  The speech reassured Democrats and raised money, but did not immediately inflate Biden's poll numbers.  

The collateral impact of the address was to change the conversation.  Republicans stepped on their own message.  The GOP, with remarkable success, has pounded on Biden's age.  But in response to the speech,  Republicans cited Biden as being angry, talking too fast, shouting, and even Trump claiming Biden ingested cocaine.   Hardly, the description of a doddering old man.  The media has followed suit.  References to Biden's age have declined, and late night comedians have moved on.

The second reason is advertising.  Political advertising is often mere background noise.  Two chords transform it into a beat the public will dance to.  First, if it is unopposed.  Biden is buying digital and other media in key markets, while the less funded Trump campaign is not.  More importantly, the Biden campaign's ads funnel and amplify free media.

Abortion is in the news.  The Alabama decision on IVF and the more recent barbaric abortion decision in Arizona have the public focused.  The Biden campaign has nimbly responded with impactful abortion ads. 

The election is a long way off, but finally the Biden campaign has pushed the on button.

Ping

 I have a new business. Shooting small rubber bands at my computer screen. During the first quarter, I lost 2 dollars (the cost of the rubber bands). I expect to reach the break even point in the second quarter, since the rubber bands are reusable. Trump's media company lost 58 million over the last 4 quarters and is valued at 8 billion. Based on that valuation, I conservatively estimate the value of "Ping" at 10 billion.

Pole Dancing

 Time for the Biden campaign to bust a move.  Polish Americans make up nearly 8 percent of the population in Michigan and Wisconsin, two key swing states.  The number is a little over 5 per cent in Pennsylvania.  Up the ante with transplants from other eastern European NATO countries, and you have a sizable voting block.

Polish Americans, and their eastern European counterparts, are swing voters with nearly equal registration between Democrats, Republicans and independents.  Time to swing them in one direction.

All too often Trump's most outrageous comments play to his base, infuriate liberals, but barely move the needle with those in the middle.  Trump's invitation for Putin to invade NATO countries, and his lack of support for Ukraine, should be different.

Biden must seize the moment, advertising in the Polish Monthly, and every other demographically desirable media source.  Go east, not so young man, go east.

Double Jeopardy

 The President would be an awful contestant on Jeopardy. Instant recall and exact phrasing are not his strengths.  But presidents do not play foreign or domestic policy for 200.  They play it for real.

That requires deliberation, not flash card memory.  A president takes advice from a team of experts,  cabinet level on down, and tempers it with his wisdom and experience into steely policy.  

Biden has choosen advisers based on ability and experience, Trump favors loyalty.  Biden has background as a Senator and a Vice President before winning the Presidency.  Trump was a game show host, and ran a fraudulent family real estate business with 500 million in seed money from his father.

We somehow survived Trump's chaotic first term.  Do the American people really want to place the country in double jeopardy?