Wednesday, November 6, 2024

So Wrong

 The champagne is back in the basement.  I will need the hard stuff over the next 4 years.  I could not have been more wrong.  Hard to believe the most racist candidate since George Wallace got a huge majority of Latino men, and a healthy chunk of black men.  The Bro strategy worked.  He won males 18-29 bt 11 points compared to Biden winning the group by 15.  He muddied the water enough on abortion that it was a less potent issue than expected.  Sisterhood did not prevail.  Whatever his flaws as a candidate, this time he had a professional team that hit issues that worked.  The anti-trans ads were shamefully potent.


Collective amnesia will take a while to explain.  People rate the chaotic Trump presidency at 48, and the successful Biden term at 41.

In retrospect Kamala needed to distance herself from Biden, a touchy task.  I still wonder why they never ran ads that Trump was held liable by a jury for sexual assault.  The appeal to suburban women failed.  Trump got marginally more Democratic voters than Kamala's share of Republicans.  She only won independents by 5%.  But maybe nothing mattered because American is unwilling to elect a Black woman.

If there are midterms, perhaps we can extract our revenge after people are reminded of how Trump governs.

For now I will be watching a lot of football.

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