The Gallup poll is galvanizing media attention. Trump has failed to clear 40 on successive attempts. A 36 approval rating is an unheralded flop. But the real bad news is the Rasmussen poll. Missing Rasmussen is understandable. Nate Silver at 538, only gives the poll a C+. That means they could barely predict the weather in a snow storm.
Moreover, Rasmussen has a heavy Republican bias. As recently as March 6 he was an extreme outlier, showing Trump with a 52% approval rating. But even with that net positive, Trump narrowly trailed among those with strongly held opinions.
Now, Rasmussen has Trump down 45 to 55. More telling, Trump is strongly disapproved by 44% and only strongly approved by 27%. His core support is down to slightly over a quarter, and his most strident opposition is nearing one half of likely voters. The man of gold is barely competing for the bronze.
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