Oh, Frack

After catching every light and cruising towards the presidency, the Biden campaign has hit an oil slick. Towards the end of Thursday's debate Biden awkwardly discussed transitioning from oil and fracking.  The campaign immediately began environmental cleanup, but the damage had been done.

The first quality post debate polls are in for Pennsylvania and Texas.  Sienna has Biden down 4 in Texas, more importantly, Insider Advantage has Biden down 2 in Pennsylvania.  Texas is not a shock, but this is the first reputable keystone state poll to show Trump ahead.  Only more polling will tell us if this is an outlier or a harbinger.  

Mighty Pen

On Monday Pennsylvania will be the epicenter of the political world.  The Clintons and Obamas will share the stage before thousands.  Is Hillary afraid of losing this Democratic stronghold?

The answer is nuanced.  With Comey incompetently skewing the race, the polls have tightened.  Trump's campaign can count to 270.  The swing states are not enough.  They need a blue state.  Thinking he is the WD 40 for the rustbelt, Trump is making a big push in Pennsylvania and Michigan.

But the main reason is structural.  Pennsylvania has virtually no early voting.  In preserving her blue wall, Hillary has focused on early voting states.  Now to close the door on Trump, she is making a  big entrance in a state that has yet to cast votes.

While Trumpets shout, "Lock her up," she is locking down the presidency.