Two numbers are important, 61, Liz Cheney's age, in 7 years, and 2028, the year she intends to be the Republican nominee for president. As all the other presidential aspirants cruise down to Mar-a-Lago to kiss the ring, they have left the diamond lane wide open for Cheney. Nikki Haley was the last candidate in the southern caravan.
Right now Trumpism looks like the favorite. But handicapping is about searching for value, a risk reward scenario. Cheney's truth telling is sincere, but is also the right political play. The Trump lane is so full that Liz would be blocked off if she took that path.
Trump could topple. Behind a popular president, Democrats could rally in 2022. Trump, or his designee, could lose badly in 2024. Trump could transition from his blue suit to an orange jump suit. If Trump is discredited, Cheney could move forward toward the 2028 nomination while the other aspirants back track.
The Cheney gambit: sacrifice a house seat for the oval office.
No comments:
Post a Comment