Trump will have a claustrophobic crawl to November. He has a high floor and a low ceiling. His base is fervent, but his negatives are high and likely to grow. Criminal convictions loom on the horizon. Soon attack ads will remind suburban women that he was held liable for sexual assault.
Biden can stand tall. His floor is now in the mid 30s but his ceiling is far above. Recognition that the economy is improving is slowly seeping in, and probable interest rate cuts will increase the flow. Democrats, and Democrat leaning independents, have yet to come home, but Biden is still within a few points of Trump. Fear of Trump, the improving economy and outrage over abortion will propel Joe to an easy victory.
Biden will win by 10 Million Votes with 306+ Electoral Votes. Take it to the bank.
