Thursday, July 23, 2015

Trickle Down Ballot

Trump's third party refrain is the Hallelujah Chorus for many Democrats.  Unlike recent independent candidacies, a vociferous Trump effort could tip the election.  Congressman John Anderson's 1980 campaign drew equally from both parties.  Perot's constituency slanted slightly Republican, but not enough to matter.  In counterpoint, Trump's anti-immigrant ditty plays solely to the right side of the stage.  Democrats would score a third term.

A nice dance beat, but some lyrics are disturbing.  Trump voters, some of whom might have tuned out the election, will help Republicans maintain majorities in the House and Senate.  Equally disquieting, if they have the attention span to vote for state offices, Trump voters could secure another 10 years of Republican House leadership.

Over the last 3 cycles Democrats, in the aggregate, have outpolled Republicans in the house, but have little to show for it.  A concerted effort by Republicans captured state legislatures and governerships leading up to the 2010 census.  Districts are fine tuned to lilt GOP.

Democrats need to be heard in 2016 and 2018 state elections, to change the tune.


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