Monday, November 7, 2016

Final Prediction

Momentum has swung back to Hillary.  Surrogates and volunteers are powering up, as the election winds down.

Hillary will win at the high end of current surveys, 6 percentage points.  Her electoral total will be above 339.

Democrats will narrowly capture the Senate.  House pickups will be in the mid to high teens.

Let me know your predictions.

2 comments:

  1. My blog looks rather like your. Alas, I am not so optimistic. Hillary got her message across: Trump is semi-crazy. Trump's message is that elites are betraying American workers by allowing too much immigration, job migration offshore, and bad wars. I voted for Hillary but try to look closely at the messaging and Hillary and fellow Democrats are lucky that Trump has done so many suicidal things. Trump has merged some of the Sanders message. Peter Sage, Medford, Oregon www.peterwsage.blogspot.com

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  2. True Trump's message might have sold with a different messenger. The Bloomberg poll by Seltzer showed he would have won easily. Of course, he took no incoming this cycle. Humpty Dumpty will be hard to put back together. But also note that many Trump supporters are dissatisfied with changing demographics which emotionally tinge the immigration issue. I will check out your blog.

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