Tuesday, August 11, 2015

Swimming Up Stream

With a tip of the hat to Barry McGuire, in 2012 Republican candidates were ever, "On the eve of (self) destruction."  Who can forget such hits as, "9-9-9,"  "47%," and on the senatorial side, "I am not a witch."

Although my progressive allies may titter and twitter, in 2016 the Republicans have streamed a field of well schooled candidates.  Marco Rubio is energetic, photogenic, and articulate.  He has a powerful personal story, speaks fluent Spanish, and hails from the key state of Florida.  Walker and Kasich as purple state warriors, could make inroads in the Midwest.  Kasich could lock down the Republican must win state of Ohio, where he enjoys a remarkable 60% approval rating as governor.  His resume rivals Hilary's including 9 terms in the House, serving as  Chair of the Budget Committee.

Ted Cruz is prepared to carry the ultraconservative water if Trump starts leaking support.  Cruz has Ivy league credentials and was a national debate champion.  Jeb is a cash machine.  Even competing with 15 other panderers, he has nearly doubled Clinton's take, even though she has no competition for major liberal donors.  Like Mario he is Florida based and speaks Spanish.

The GOP will fail to cross the electoral divide not because of the quality of candidates, but because there is no rightward passage.  The Republican nominee will be cut off from Hispanic votes by xenophobic positions on immigration.  For gays, the young, and many independents, the GOP has lost its way on gay marriage.   A barrage of intemperate remarks keeps women, particularly single women, out of reach.  Attacks on voting rights, has made outreach for Black support, a bridge too far.

Even a strong candidate will stumble on a shaky platform.


No comments:

Post a Comment